In the early 1700s, the Bernoulli brothers (famous in other areas, like for their Principle, which forms the foundation for the design of wings on planes) were corresponding with another preeminent mathematician of their day, the Swiss mathematician Leonhard Euler (whose name is tossed around in conversations about who the greatest mathematician has ever been) about compound interest, and how much they'd receive if they-- pardon the calculus pun-- took compound interest to its limits.
Here is the equation that governs compound interest:
- A is the amount you'll have after compounding
- P is the amount you have before compounding
- r is the interest rate
- n is the number of times the compounding occurs per unit of time
- t is the number of units of time through which the compounding takes place
- We don't know A yet
- We know P is 5000
- You get to keep all your money, plus you get returns, each time the money is compounded, so that explains the term in parentheses
- John's interest rate is 4.4% per year, so that explains the 0.044
- There are 12 months in a year so that 4.4% will be divided evenly throughout the year in 12 installments
- We want to look 10 years into the future, so the compounding process-- which is a multiplication each time-- needs to happen 12*10 = 120 times, justifying the exponent
For illustrative purposes, to arrive for ourselves at the conclusion of the correspondence between the Bernoullis and Euler, let's keep the starting amount ($5,000), the interest rate (4.4% on an annual basis), and the length of time (10 years), the same but let's vary how often we compound per year.
Refer to this table:
How many times we compound per year |
How much money we
have in 10 years |
Interest rate per compounding period |
|
1 |
$
7,690.86 |
once a year |
4.40% |
2 |
$
7,726.59 |
every 6 months |
2.20% |
3 |
$
7,738.77 |
every 4 months |
1.47% |
4 |
$
7,744.91 |
every 3 months |
1.10% |
6 |
$
7,751.08 |
every 2 months |
0.73% |
12 |
$
7,757.29 |
every month |
0.37% |
365 |
$
7,763.33 |
every day |
0.0120547945205% |
8760 |
$
7,763.53 |
every hour |
0.0005022831050% |
Taking 4.4% interest once a year is okay, but taking 2.2% twice a year works in John's favor by about $36; 1.47% 3 times a year gives him about $13 on top of that; and so on until we seem to be getting closer and closer to a value.
There's a special number hidden in this formula, and let's now extract it. Of course, 10% can be represented as 1/10, so what happens if, for instance, we take (1 + 1/10) to the power of 10? Or do the same for 1% = 1/100?
So then what happens when we let d get as big as we want, such that a number just barely above 1 is raised to an enormous power?
Look at this table:
d |
Our Magic Number |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2.25 |
5 |
2.48832 |
10 |
2.59374246 |
100 |
2.704813829 |
1000 |
2.716923932 |
10000 |
2.718145927 |
100000 |
2.718268237 |
1000000 |
2.718280469 |
10000000 |
2.718281694 |
1000000000 |
2.718282031 |
This table is asking: what happens if you give me my investment, plus 100% interest, once? (Your investment exactly doubles). How about 50% interest twice? (Your investment is 9/4 times as big). How about 20% interest, 5 times? (Your investment is about 5/2 times as big).
As we let d get arbitrarily big-- take it to infinity, calculus doesn't care! -- notice how similar the numbers are starting to look.
This number we've gotten, by raising (1 + a fraction) to the power of the denominator of that fraction can be subjected to this process. Namely, what's the limit of this value when the bit added to 1 is allowed to get as small as we want, and consequently, the exponent becomes arbitrarily big?
Clearly, it's 2.71828.... something something something...
This number, which does in fact start 2.71828182845904523536... (and goes on forever without ever repeating) is one of the fundamental constants of our whole system of mathematics.
The fact that this limit exists (proving its existence is a matter for someone who wants to learn calculus; take it for granted) is what allows us to see a pattern in the amount of money John earns by specific frequencies of compounding: as he compounds more and more frequently, the percentage of interest he gets with each compounding gets smaller and smaller, but the number of compoundings gets bigger and bigger.
This means that, if someone had $1, and then they got 100% interest per period, divided up into infinitely small chunks, compounded instantly, they'd end up with about $2.72 at the end of the first period-- that is, with $e.
So because we now know about e, we can rewrite the formula for compound interest like this:
When John changes his compounding to become continuous-- the most generous his bank could possibly be-- then he realizes his absolute ceiling for how much money he can get (it's absolute because you cannot get any bigger than a limit like the one that defines e) is $7,763.54, just one cent better than the most generous compounding we calculated in the chart. (In the real world, banks would most likely give him the monthly compounding option, which if you'll recall, would have given him $7,757.29)
This number, and the kind of (exponential) equations it gives rise to are some of the most important in all of math, especially in a financial context. But the notions of limits and infinity, and the weirdness of e can make understanding compound interest a difficult and intimidating prospect. But play around with some numbers, and I promise you-- the best way to get comfortable with how this equation behaves is to play with it. Change variables one at a time, and see just how sensitive (or not) John's balance is to the change you made.
When you do, you'll have gone-- yourself-- on the same journey of discovery as Euler and the Bernoulli brothers did, 300 years ago.
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